Aug 31, 2019; Shenzhen, China; Su Muaderji (red gloves) defeats Andre Soukhamathath (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre. Mandatory Credit: David G. McIntyre-USA TODAY Sports
MMA has always been about second chances and redemption stories. Both fighters stepping into the octagon at UFC Shanghai know this better than most. When the Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai lights up this weekend, two hungry flyweights will look to build momentum after recent struggles.
Su Mudaerji and Kevin Borjas represent different paths to the same destination. The Chinese fighter, nicknamed recently broke a brutal three-fight losing streak with a split decision victory over Mitch Raposo at UFC 314 in April. Meanwhile, Borjas bounced back from his own two-fight skid with a convincing unanimous decision win over Ronaldo Rodriguez in March. Both men understand that consistency separates contenders from gatekeepers in the flyweight division.
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas Preview
Su Mudaerji brings impressive physical advantages to this matchup. At 5’8″ with a 72 inch reach, he towers over most flyweights and uses every inch of that length effectively. The 29 year old lands 4.40 significant strikes per minute with 51% accuracy, showing patience and precision in his approach. Mudaerji averages just 0.18 takedowns per fight with 25% accuracy,
Kevin Borjas stands just 5’5″ with a 68 inch reach, but compensates with aggressive volume striking. He throws 5.10 significant strikes per minute, though his 44% accuracy suggests he prioritizes pressure over precision. His orthodox stance will create an interesting dynamic against Mudaerji’s southpaw approach. Borjas has never attempted a takedown in the UFC. Both Their takedown defense numbers hover around 65-67%, indicating neither man particularly wants this fight on the ground.
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas MMA Betting Odds
The oddsmakers have spoken, and they are backing the hometown favorite. FanDuel lists Su Mudaerji as a -180 favorite. Meanwhile, Kevin Borjas comes back at +152. These odds reflect several factors beyond just recent form. Fighting in Shanghai gives Mudaerji obvious crowd support and comfort advantages. His physical measurements also align with what typically succeeds in this weight class.
The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (+160) reflect that. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at -210
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas Predictions And Picks
This matchup boils down to range management and stance dynamics. Borjas has historically struggled against southpaw opponents, including his only regional loss to Reno Mendez. The key question becomes whether Borjas can find his jab consistently. His aggressive style works best when he can establish rhythm and pressure. Against a longer, more patient striker like Mudaerji, those opportunities might prove scarce.
Mudaerji’s recent victory should provide confidence, but he cannot afford to become complacent. Borjas brings the kind of dog fight mentality that can overwhelm cautious opponents. The Chinese fighter must use his reach advantage early and often, keeping the aggressive Peruvian at bay while picking his spots carefully.
If we bet on the fight, we are going with Su Mudaerji to win via unanimous decision.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
(Image Credit: David McIntyre – Imagn Images)
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